Despite stationary energy consumption, CO2 emissions grew by 6% in the first nine months of 2022. Over the whole of 2022 energy consumption is expected to drop by about 1.5%, while CO2 emissions are estimated to increase by more than 2%, due to the increased use of fossil fuels (between January and September, oil +8%, coal +47%, renewables -11%). These are some of the data included in the last ENEA Quarterly Analysis of the Italian energy system, which are among the factors explaining the sharp deterioration of the ENEA-ISPRED energy transition index (-60% in the 3rd quarter). “ISPRED index’s fall reflects in particular the worsening of the decarbonisation component, which is now at its lowest value on record”, explains Francesco Gracceva, the coordinator of the ENEA Quarterly Analysis. “Within this scenario – he adds – achieving the European target of reducing emissions by 55% by 2030 would require an average annual reduction of almost 6% over the next eight years”.
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