This afternoon, at 4:30 p.m., the cardinal electors will enter the Sistine Chapel. After a meditation entrusted to Card. Raniero Cantalamessa, preacher emeritus of the Papal Household, the voting operations for the election of Peter's successor will begin. The first smoke from the Sistine chimney is expected around 7 p.m. It will give the outcome of the first ballot: black in case of non-election and white in case of election of the new Pontiff. In the following days, the smoke is expected around 10:30 a.m. (only in case of election of the Pope) or 12 p.m. while in the afternoon around 5:30 p.m. (only in case of election) or around 7 p.m. To enter the Conclave 133 cardinals from 71 countries of the world: 53 Europeans, 37 Americans, 23 Asians and 18 Africans. It seems to be a very large conclave: the largest in Church history with 13 cardinals more than the limit of 120 expected. To be elected one must get 89 votes, 2/3 of the electors. At the moment various names are being mentioned but the situation, at least from what could be gathered from the little said by the cardinals after the General Congregations, remains very uncertain and the odds have started spreading around who’ll be the next Pope. The number one favorite seems to be Card. Pietro Parolin, former Secretary of State to Pope Francis who should aggregate around him a good package of consensus useful for a probable election to the papal throne. Along with him are Card. Luis Antonio Tagle, but also French cardinal Jean Marc Aveline of Marseille, Card. Matteo Zuppi, President of the Italian Bishops, Robert Francis Prevost who headed the Dicastery of Bishops. A few voices also point to the other Italian Pizzaballa, Card. Filoni, Péter Erdo of Budapest and Maltese Mario Grech former Secretary General of the Synod, as well as Stockholm Cardinal Anders Arborelius. In short, an open Conclave with quite a few undecided. It is a fact that the cardinals - 108 of them appointed by Pope Francis - have different sensitivities especially on the many dossiers still open.
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