Production of olive oil will remain modest in 2026, with an overall decrease in production. The only good indicators come from Italy, where production will rise by 50,000-60,000 tons, and Morocco, where production will almost quadruple. Spain, Greece, Portugal, and Tunisia remain largely constant, while Turkey will experience a severe fall. Once more, the olive oil market in Italy will be saved by the South, as Puglia, Calabria, and Sicily are anticipated to account for 80% of the national production. Puglia will be the primary region for the 2025/26 olive oil campaign, with an estimated production of 150,000 tons. However, there are some challenges in the areas that have been most affected by drought and a lack of irrigation water. The further north one travels, the more problems arise, with dips ranging from 20% to more than 50% in Liguria, Lake Garda, and Tuscany. The olive fruit fly, which is destroying multiple locations, has had disastrous consequences. However, the olive fruit fly is not exclusively an Italian issue; there is concern in Spain, particularly in Andalusia and Aragon, where insect attacks could lead to massive production losses.