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In 2026, Italy's GDP is predicted to exceed €2.3 trillion, up €66 billion, or 2.9 percent, from 2025. In real terms, growth is projected to reach 0.7 percent compared to the previous year, primarily fueled by an increase in exports (+1 percent), steady household consumption (+0.6 percent), and public administration expenditure (+0.5 percent), while investments are slowing (+0.7% compared to +2.4% in the previous year). This is according to the CGIA Research Office. The deadline for using NRRP funds is set for next summer. While Veneto was primarily responsible for the country's progress in 2025 (+0.66% compared to 2024), Emilia-Romagna is predicted to be the driving force this year (+0.86% compared to 2025). Following closely are Lazio (+0.78%), Piedmont (+0.74%), Friuli Venezia Giulia, and Lombardy (+0.73%). At the bottom of the list, as reported by the Mestre-based CGIA, are Sicily with a growth of +0.28 percent, Basilicata with +0.25 percent, and Calabria with +0.24 percent in the national classification. Emilia-Romagna is expected to outperform all other Italian regions this year thanks to the strength of its metalworking, automotive, and biotechnology sectors. Furthermore, this region enjoys a strong labor market, focused public investments, and innovation and export policies that have established the basis for long-term growth.
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