|
UEFA has officially approved a major overhaul of the European qualification system for the 2030 World Cup, the tournament that will be hosted by Spain, Morocco and Portugal. The new model, which will also affect the path to the 2032 European Championship, attempts to provide more security to the top-ranked national teams in the international rankings by limiting the impact of individual poor results over the course of a qualifying cycle. For Italy, coming off three consecutive World Cup defeats—an extraordinary feat in the Azzurri's recent history—the new structure might theoretically pave the way for a more successful comeback to the world stage. Italy's absence from the competition has continued since 2014, a noteworthy oddity for a country with four World Cup wins. The exact details will remain dependent on the eventual format of the 2030 World Cup. In recent months, talk has increased over the competition's potential expansion to 60 or even 64 participating teams, in addition to the already extended 48-nation model scheduled for 2026. While waiting for FIFA's verdict, UEFA has already laid out the basic structure of the new system. According to the published strategy, each qualifying group would comprise two national teams from each of the six pots based on FIFA rankings. The top four teams in each group will automatically qualify for the World Cup, enhancing their chances of reaching the top teams when compared to previous versions. The remaining places will instead be decided through playoffs involving the fifth-placed teams and the best sixth-placed side, who will face teams coming from the lower divisions of the UEFA Nations League. Given the present international rankings, Italy's potential trajectory could fluctuate between a variety of disparate scenarios.
|