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Good news for people who invest, work, or conduct business in Italy. The International Monetary Fund increased its Italian growth prediction for 2026 by 0.3 percentage points, from 0.5% to 0.8%, and revised it up for 2027 to 0.6%. The estimates are included in the World Economic Outlook, which was delivered during the Fund's meetings in Bangkok. However, the issue of prices remains: Italy is anticipated to end 2026 with an average inflation rate of 3.3%, higher than the eurozone's 3.1%, before declining to 2.8% in 2027. According to the IMF, the immediate impact of the energy crisis caused by the Middle East war is particularly acute in the United States, where inflation is predicted to reach 3.6% in 2026 and 2.8% in 2027. On a global scale, the Fund is cautious: Chief Economist Silvana Tenreyro notes that growth has been aided by a reorientation of energy sources and a surge in investments in artificial intelligence, but she warns that energy stocks are running low. Meanwhile, in Rome, the Public Finance Policy Document was presented to Parliament, with Minister Giorgetti confirming the budget consolidation stance.
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